Premier League Team Analysis – Possession and Expected Goals
Premier League Team Analysis – Possession and Expected Goals

Premier League Team Analysis – Possession and Expected Goals

First thing to remember is that our research is focused on the Premier League Team Analysis. Altogether, we analyze all the teams in the Premier League 24/25 up to the present day on this two key stats.

Assessing all the teams, we expect the top teams with the highest xG total. As a matter of fact, even in terms of ball possession, the top teams are normally the ones with the highest average %. Particularly in terms of the underperforming teams, this Premier League team analysis will allow us to draw more conclusions.

🔹 𝐀𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐚𝐠𝐞 𝐏𝐨𝐬𝐬𝐞𝐬𝐬𝐢𝐨𝐧 %

🥇 Manchester City (60.7%)
🥈 Chelsea (58.1%)
🥉 Liverpool (57.1%)
📉 Nottingham Forest (40.0%)

🔸 𝐄𝐱𝐩𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐆𝐨𝐚𝐥𝐬 (𝐱𝐆)

🥇 Liverpool (65.0)
🥈 Chelsea (55.9)
🥉 Bournemouth (52.9)
📉 Leicester City (25.7)

𝐌𝐚𝐢𝐧 𝐓𝐚𝐤𝐞𝐚𝐰𝐚𝐲𝐬:

🔴 Liverpool

Clear top team in terms of Expected Goals (xG). We can see that the second team with the most xG is 9 xG behind Liverpool.

🔵 Chelsea

Despite being the second team with the most xG and Average Possession %, Chelsea are not matching up in terms of results.

🔴⚫️ Bournemouth

Surprisingly, Bournemouth has a higher xG total than Manchester City!

🔴 Brentford

Also in a surprising way, Brentford has a higher xG total than Arsenal!

🔴 Nottingham Forest

Despite being in third place, Nottingham Forest are the team with the lowest Average Possession % in the Premier League.

🔵 Ipswich Town

🔴 Southampton

🔵 Leicester City

The three teams with the fewest points are the ones with the lowest xG total.

MORE THESTATSWAY CONTENT:

UEFA Europa League 2024/25: League Phase Recap

Best Players in Europe – Top 7 European Leagues 24/25

Data from FBref.

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