GOAL PROBABILITY: MATCHWEEK 1 – BUNDESLIGA 23-24

For the first games of the season, we calculated the probabilities associated with the goals in each match. For this analysis, the probabilities presented were calculated using historical data that allows us to predict the probability associated for each match in terms of more or less than 2.5 goals in the specific match.

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HOME TEAM	AWAY TEAM
Probability of + 2.5 Goals in the game	Probability – 2.5 Goals in the game
Probability %	Probability %

Werder Bremen	Bayern München
+ 2.5	– 2.5
54%	46%

Fußball club Augsburg	Borussia Mönchengladbach
+ 2.5	– 2.5
30%	70%

Stuttgart 1893	VfL Bochum
+ 2.5	– 2.5
42%	58%

TSG Hoffenheim	SC Freiburg
+ 2.5	– 2.5
74%	26%

VfL Wolfsburg	1. FC Heidenheim 1846
+ 2.5	– 2.5
56%	44%

Bayer Leverkusen	RB Leipzig
+ 2.5	– 2.5
70%	30%

Borussia Dortmund	1. Fussball Club Köln
+ 2.5	– 2.5
95%	5%

1. FC Union Berlin	Mainz 05
+ 2.5	– 2.5
47%	53%

Eintracht Frankfurt	Darmstadt 98
+ 2.5	– 2.5
45%	55%