GOAL PROBABILITY: MATCHWEEK 1 – PRIMEIRA LIGA 23-24

For the first games of the season, we calculated the probabilities associated with the goals in each match. For this analysis, the probabilities presented were calculated using historical data that allows us to predict the probability associated for each match in terms of more or less than 2.5 goals in the specific match.

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HOME TEAM	AWAY TEAM
Probability of + 2.5 Goals in the game	Probability – 2.5 Goals in the game
Probability %	Probability %

Boavista FC	SL Benfica
+ 2.5	– 2.5
76%	24%

FC Arouca	GD Estoril Praia
+ 2.5	– 2.5
32%	68%

Gil Vicente FC	Portimonense SC
+ 2.5	– 2.5
21%	79%

SC Braga	FC Famalicão
+ 2.5	– 2.5
84%	16%

Estrela da Amadora	Vitória SC
+ 2.5	– 2.5
36%	64%

SC Farense	Casa Pia AC
+ 2.5	– 2.5
22%	78%

Moreirense FC	FC Porto
+ 2.5	– 2.5
58%	42%

Rio Ave FC	GD Chaves
+ 2.5	– 2.5
35%	65%

Sporting CP	FC Vizela
+ 2.5	– 2.5
42%	58%