GOAL PROBABILITY: MATCHWEEK 1 – PREMIER LEAGUE 23-24
GOAL PROBABILITY: MATCHWEEK 1 – PREMIER LEAGUE 23-24

GOAL PROBABILITY: MATCHWEEK 1 – PREMIER LEAGUE 23-24

For the first games of the season, we calculated the probabilities associated with the goals in each match. For this analysis, the probabilities presented were calculated using historical data that allows us to predict the probability associated for each match in terms of more or less than 2.5 goals in the specific match.

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HOME TEAMAWAY TEAM
Probability of + 2.5 Goals in the gameProbability – 2.5 Goals in the game
Probability %Probability %
Burnley FCManchester
City FC
+ 2.5– 2.5
65%35%
AFC BournemouthWest Ham United
+ 2.5– 2.5
44%56%
Arsenal FCNottingham
Forest FC
+ 2.5– 2.5
90%10%
Brighton & Hove Albion
Football Club
Luton Town FC
+ 2.5– 2.5
61%39%
Everton FCFulham FC
+ 2.5– 2.5
40%60%
Sheffield
United FC
Crystal
Palace FC
+ 2.5– 2.5
38%62%
Newcastle
United FC
Aston Villa FC
+ 2.5– 2.5
60%40%
Brentford FCTottenham
Hotspur FC
+ 2.5– 2.5
79%21%
Chelsea FCLiverpool FC
+ 2.5– 2.5
62%38%
Manchester
United FC
Wolverhampton
Wanderers FC
+ 2.5– 2.5
31%69%